>> Pre-Conference:�APPROACHES�& METHODS

>> Main Conference: FORESIGHT�& IMPACT

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Pre-Conference:

ADVANCING FUTURE�EXPERTISE�

Approaches & Methods

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Sunday, 10 July 2005

13.00h	Speed dating	Rohit Talwar, Advisory Board
13.20h	Opening Welcome address	Pero Micic, President Advisory Board European Futurists Conference
SUPPLY AND DEMAND Futuring is More than Strategic Planning Chair: Pero Micic, President Advisory Board
13.45h	What We Need�to Know About the Future	Patrik Sallner, �Head of Insight & Foresight Nokia
14.05h	The Spirit of the Future� How does Forecasting influence business, politics and minds?	Matthias Horx, Futurist
14.40h	Potential and Limitations of Futuring Round Table	Johan Peter Paludan Prof. Dr. Markku Wilenius Matthias Horx Patrik Sallner
15.30h	Coffee break	�
METHODS How Futurists Actually Tell the Future -�Improving Theory Chair: Prof. Erzs�bet Nov�ky, Vice President Advisory Board
16.00h	"Unblackboxing" methodological myths�	Dr. Marjolein van Asselt, Faculty of Arts and Culture, Maastricht University
16.30h	Applying Principles of Systems Theory in Scenario Planning - What is the added value?�	Prof. Roland W. Scholz, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, ETH Dr. Arnim Wiek, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, ETH
REALITY (Breakout sessions part 1) Empowering Organisations with Future Intelligence Chair: Rohit Talwar, Member Advisory Board
17.00h	Short Presentations of the Breakout sessions�	�
17.30h	Parallel Breakout sessions
	Case 1: Government of Liechtenstein� Establishing a national foresight programme in a small state: how to establish the Foresight Programme for Liechtenstein?	Case presenter: Dr. Tino Quaderer, Head of Zukunftsb�ro of the Government of Liechtenstein
	Case 2:�Swisscom Innovations How to create a vision for a complete Industry: What is the best methodology to create a 10-years ahead vision for a specific industry such as ICT world?��	Case Presenter: Nicolas Maesani, Project Leader, Swisscom Innovations
	Case 3: InterNutrition� Agriculture in Europe in the year 2025: what are the driving forces of further developments for the agriculture?	Case Presenter: Dr. Arthur Einsele, Senior Advisor InterNutrition
	Case 4: OECD� What kind of long term tangible infrastructure do the OECD Countries need in order to generate social and economic benefits	Case Presenter: Dr. Pierre-Alain Schieb, Head FutureProjects OECD International Future Programme
	Case 5: Swiss Re� Risk perception in the future: will the young generation treat technology-related risks more utilitarian than their parent generation?	Case Presenter: Dr. Rolf Tanner, Head Socio-Political Risk Research, Swiss Re Christina Ulardic,�Swiss Re
	Future Seminar:� Creative Man	The Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies
18.30h	End of 1st day
19.30h	Futurists Reception Hotel Schweizerhof Welcome addresses by	Prof.�Eleonora Barbieri Masini, Representative of World Futures Studies Federation

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Monday, 11 July 2005

08.20h	Short plenary sessions	�
08.30h	REALITY (Breakout sessions part II) Empowering Organisations with Future Intelligence	�
10.30h	Coffee break
FUTURES STUDIES Chair: Dr. Wendy Schultz
11.00h	Cutting Edge Methods of Foresight in the Futures Study Programs� - Corvinus University Budapest (Hungary) - Conservatoire� Nationale des Arts et �� Metiers CNAM (France) - Gregorian� University (Italy) - Turku School of Economics and Business ���Administration (Finland)	Prof. Erzs�bet Nov�ky N.N. Prof.�Eleonora Barbieri Masini Prof. Markku Wilenius
11.45h	End of the Pre-Conference	�

*) to be confirmed

The programme is subject to modification

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Main Conference:

BUSINESS GAINS FROM FUTURE THINKING

Foresight�& Impact

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Monday, 11 July 2005

14.15h	Opening	Georges T. Roos, Managing Director European Futurists Conference Lucerne
14.20h	Welcome notes:	Urs W. Studer, Mayor City of Lucerne Pierre-Alain Schieb, Future Programme OECD
FUTURE VISION Knowing the Unknowable - What We Really Can Tell About the Future Chair: Rohit Talwar, Advisory Board
14.30h	Take Hold of Your Future - Key Trends Affecting the Future of Your Business and Personal Life� Organisational Intelligence in a Digital Age	Dr. Patrick Dixon, Chairman Global Change Ltd Dr. Michael Jackson, Founder and Chairman Shaping Tomorrow
16.00h	Coffee break
16.30h	CRITICALLY EVALUATING FORECASTS�	Prof. Adam Gordon, INSEAD
FUTURE CHANGE The Future Is Not What You Think it Is Chair: Ute von Reibnitz, Advisory Board
17.00h	Making Change Happen: Futures literacy for the 21st Century�	Riel Miller, Associate, Demos, London, Senior Visiting Fellow, Danish Technological Institute
17.45h	How Europe can Prosper from a Global Demographic Dividend	Bo Malmberg, Institute for Futures Studies, Uppsala University
18.30h	End of 1st day
19.30h	Dinner Hotel Schweizerhof Speech: Science Fiction - lab of the Future	Karlheinz Steinm�ller, Sci-Fi Autor, Futurist, Z_Punkt The Foresight Company

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Tuesday, 12 July 2005

08.30h	Introduction of 2nd day Questionnaire	�Pero Micic
FUTURE TOOLS Foresight Forming Better Decisions Chair: Dr. Michael Jackson, Advisory Board
08.45h	UK Government� Horizon scanning � improving the anticipatory capability, developing a guide in shaping �the day after tomorrow"	Rohit Talwar, programme manager of Horizon Scanning Unit, Defra (UK government)
09.20h	Siemens� Managing Innovation in High Technology with Scenario Technique	Dr. Heinrich Stuckenschneider, Vice President Corporate Technology and Head Strategic Marketing Siemens AG
10.00h	Coffee break
10.30h	Future Concept Lab� The Six Trends in the Future of Consumption and the Methodologies to Conceive them Trend analysis	Francesco Morace, president Future Concept Lab, Milano
11.05h	Booz Allen Hamilton� Dynamic Simulation - case studies: HIV/AIDS in India Market Entry Strategy into the UMTS World	Dr. Daniel F. Oriesek, Head of European Recruitment, Booz Allen Hamilton, Z�rich Raffael Jovine, Senior Associate Booz Allen Hamilton Global Health team, London
11.45h	Lunch break	�
FUTURE ACTION What We Need to Do Today�for Tomorrow Chair: Prof. Prabhu Guptara, Executive Director Organisational Development, Wolfsberg (UBS)
14.15h	Visioning exercise	Dr. Wendy Schultz
14.30h	Europe 2020: Chances and Risk� Future Agenda panel	Ged Davis,�Managing Director World Economic Forum (WEF) Charles Kleiber, State Secretary of Education and Research Prof. Norbert Walter, Chief Economist Deutsche Bank
15.45h	Presentation for Questionnaire results Future Declaration� Conference findings	�
16.00h	End of the Conference

*) to be confirmed

The programme is subject to modification

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